BioMed Research International

Volume 2013 (2013), Article ID 359634, 7 pages

http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/359634

Research Article

Identifying the Association Rules between Clinicopathologic Factors and Higher Survival Performance in Operation-Centric Oral Cancer Patients Using the Apriori Algorithm

Jen-Yang Tang,1,2,3 Li-Yeh Chuang,⁴ Edward Hsi,⁵ Yu-Da Lin,⁶ Cheng-Hong Yang,⁶ and Hsueh-Wei Chang3,7

¹Department of Radiation Oncology, Faculty of Medicine, College of Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan

²Department of Radiation Oncology, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, Kaohsiung, Taiwan

³Cancer Center, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan

⁴Department of Chemical Engineering and Institute of Biotechnology and Chemical Engineering, I-Shou University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan

⁵Department of Medical Research, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, Kaohsiung, Taiwan

⁶Department of Electronic Engineering, National Kaohsiung University of Applied Sciences, Kaohsiung, Taiwan

⁷Department of Biomedical Science and Environmental Biology, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan

Received 17 May 2013; Accepted 30 June 2013

Academic Editor: Tsair-Fwu Lee

Copyright © 2013 Jen-Yang Tang et al. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

Abstract.

This study computationally determines the contribution of clinicopathologic factors correlated with 5-year survival in oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) patients primarily treated by surgical operation (OP) followed by other treatments. From 2004 to 2010, the program enrolled 493 OSCC patients at the Kaohsiung Medical Hospital University. The clinicopathologic records were retrospectively reviewed and compared for survival analysis. The Apriori algorithm was applied to mine the association rules between these factors and improved survival. Univariate analysis of demographic data showed that grade/differentiation, clinical tumor size, pathology tumor size, and OP grouping were associated with survival longer than 36 months. Using the Apriori algorithm, multivariate correlation analysis identified the factors that coexistently provide good survival rates with higher lift values, such as grade/differentiation = 2, clinical stage group = early, primary site = tongue, and group = OP. Without the OP, the lift values are lower. In conclusion, this hospital-based analysis suggests that early OP and other treatments starting from OP are the key to improving the survival of OSCC patients, especially for early stage tongue cancer with moderate differentiation, having a better survival (>36 months) with varied OP approaches.

1. Introduction

In Taiwan, betel nut chewing, cigarette smoking, and alcohol consumption have been found to be highly associated with oral cancer [1], with habitual betel nut chewers showing a particular high prevalence [2–4]. Oral cancer is one of the 10 most prevalent cancers in Taiwan, mostly classified as oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) [5], which has high rates of morbidity and mortality [6] because diagnosis often only takes place in the later stages [7]. Although many tumor markers [8–10] and single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) markers [11] have been reported as being associated with oral cancer, outcome-based studies focusing on oral cancer therapy are lacking.

The survival of OSCC patients following surgical therapy has been reported to be affected by tumor size, nodal metastasis, staging, and differentiation [12]. Some researchers have been further concerned with factors involved in outcomes for postoperative radiotherapy for OSCC patients [13]. However, the correlation between the multiple survival affecting factors for predicting the well survival of OSCC therapy is less addressed and remains a challenge.

Recently, several computational methodologies have been introduced to analyze the relationship between multiple factors and therapies for several non-OSCC diseases, including machine learning algorithms [14], data mining [15], decision tree-based learning [16], and rule-based multiscale simulations [17].

The Apriori algorithm is used here to explore the correlation between clinical factors and good survival outcomes (i.e., >36 months) in operation- (surgery-) centric treatments, including operation alone, operation/IA, and operation/IA, CT, IV, and RT, where IA, IV, CT, and RT, respectively stand for intra-arterial, intravenous, oral chemotherapies, and radiotherapy. The study aims to computationally evaluate the correlation between clinicopathological factors and survival outcomes in 493 OSCC patients treated by operation alone or by operation followed with other nonsurgical treatments.

2. Materials and Methods

2.1. Data Source

The database used to construct our cases and control groups was obtained from the chart registry of cancer center of the Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital from 2004 to 2010. Patients were excluded if they had distant metastases at presentation, did not complete the therapeutic protocol in Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, or had incomplete records. A total of 493 patients fulfilled the requirements and were included for further analyses (the raw data set is available at http://bioinfo.kmu.edu.tw/OP_high-OP_low_groups.xlsx). The patients were followed at Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital. The last followup was recorded from the last outpatient visit or the date of death. This use of patient data and the study design were reviewed and approved by the Institutional Review Board of Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital (KMUH-IRB-EXEMPT-20130029).

2.2. Introduction of the Apriori Algorithm

The problem for association rule learning can be stated as follows. Let be a set of literals, called items. Let transaction be a set of items, where . Let be a set of transactions. The objective of the association rule is an implication of the form , where and , if . The rule holds in the transaction set with confidence if of transactions in that contain also contain . The rule has support in the transaction set if % of transactions in contain . Item sets with the minimum support are called large itemsets, and the others small itemsets.

The Apriori algorithm was proposed by Agrawal and Srikant in 1994 [18] and has been widely used for frequent itemset mining and association rule learning in databases. The Apriori algorithm aims to generate the desired rules from large itemsets. The general idea is that if items are large itemsets, then any rule in will have the minimum required support because is large; that is, .

The Apriori algorithm can be divided into three steps. Algorithm 1 shows the pseudocode of the Apriori algorithm. The algorithm’s first pass counts item occurrences to screen the large itemsets (Section 2.2.1). The second pass generates the candidate itemsets from large itemsets , using the apriori-gen function (Section 2.2.2). Next, each transaction checks whether the subsets of -itemsets of belong to , called subset function and described in Section 2.2.3. Finally, each counts item occurrences in , and will be stored in if c.count minimum support. The algorithm terminates when is empty; that is, no frequent set of or more items is present in .

01: = } //see Section 2.2.1

02: set k = 2

03: while ()

04:  = apriori-gen () = ∣ candidate -itemsets}

     // see Section 2.2.2

05: if ( = )

06:    return

07: end if

08: for (all t )

09:     = subset (, t) // see Section 2.2.3

10:    for (all )

11:      c.count++

12:    end for

13: end for

14:  = }

15:  k++

16: end while

Algorithm 1: Pseudocode of the Apriori algorithm.

2.2.1. Screening the Large 1-Itemsets

Algorithm 2 shows the pseudo code of first pass which simply counts item occurrences to determine the large itemsets in all items. The array of item counts is used to count item occurrences, and elements in Item-counts having minimum support are included in the set.

01: for (all )

02: set Item-counts = 0

03: end for

04: for (all )

05: for (all )

06:    Item-counts ++

07: end for

08: end for

09: {}

Algorithm 2: The first pass of the Apriori algorithm.

2.2.2. Candidate Set Generations

The function apriori-gen generates from , and it returns a superset of the set of all large -itemsets. Algorithm 3 shows the pseudo code of the function apriori-gen . We use a set , , for all , to store the frequent -itemsets in . The selections of the pairs are called , . For each in , we start the search tuples in the and stop the search if we find such that 1 to items are not equal to the 1 to items of . Only if we find an that satisfies , for all , the does create the -itemset = . Finally, checks whether the subsets of are included in .

01: Function apriori-gen ()

02: set ← Ø

03: for (all ., . ∣ .[i] =

     .[i], i )

04:  c =..[k−2], .

     [k−1], . [k−1]}

05: if (.)

06:    

07: end if

08: end for

09: end Function

Algorithm 3: Pseudocode of the function apriori-gen().

2.2.3. Candidate Set Counts Using Hash Tree

After the candidate sets are generated, the are stored in a hash tree created by the function subset (, ). The leaf of the hash tree comprises the pointers to and the associated counters, and the leaf refers to distinct partitions of . In the hash tree, the hash function can be used to insert the candidate itemsets and search the transaction subsets in . The hash function is , , where is a constant, and is the number of items. Function subset is a recursive function which traverses the tree starting from the root node to the leaves, with each item in chosen as a possible starting item of a candidate itemset. It is applied at every level of the tree. When reaches a leaf of the tree, all candidate itemsets are checked against and their counters are updated.

2.3. Statistics Analysis

Statistical analysis was performed with JMP version 9. All statistical tests were done at a 0.05 significance level.

3. Results and Discussion

3.1. Demographic Data and Survival

3.1.1. Age and Survival

As shown in Table 1, all patients were categorized into 2 groups based on whether the survival is greater or less than 36 months. In this regard, no difference in varied age groups can be found. This is probably because anyone who was eligible for surgical resection would have comparable survival rates.

Table 1: Demographic data of 493 enrolled patients with OSCC.

Characteristics
Survived months
P
5-year survival (%)
P

Total
>36 group
<36 group

Age

0.7786

0.5556

    <30
7
3
4

71.4

    30~50
228
125
103

77.2

    50~70
236
129
107

79.2

    >70
22
14
8

63.6

Primary Site

0.7915

0.1957

    Lip
36
24
12

86.1

    Cheek mucosa
184
103
81

83.2

    Gum
42
25
17

71.4

    Tongue
175
88
87

72.0

    Mouth floor
19
11
8

68.4

    Palate
5
3
2

60.0

    Retromolar
27
15
12

77.8

    Vestibule
2
1
1

100.0

    Nonspecific
3
1
2

100.0

Laterality*3

0.3965

0.8612

    00
37
22
15

73.0

    01
230
123
107

79.1

    02
223
123
100

76.7

    03
3
3
0

66.7

    04
0
0
0

NA

Grade/differentiation

0.1476

0.0006

    01
287
156
131

80.1

    02
123
60
63

65.0

    03
7
5
2

57.1

    04
1
1
0

100.0

    09
75
49
26

89.3

Regional lymph nodes examined

0.1550

0.1424

    <5
285
160
125

80.4

    >10
134
65
69

73.1

    5~10
73
45
28

74.0

Clinical stage group

0.0749

0.5689

    Stage 0
4
0
4

75.0

    Stage 1
141
79
62

80.1

    Stage 2
73
47
26

71.2

    Stage 3
131
69
62

77.1

    Stage 4
82
50
32

72.0

Pathologic stage group

0.2540

0.0514

    Stage 0
2
2
0

100.0

    Stage 1
215
112
103

82.3

    Stage 2
92
52
40

75.0

    Stage 3
31
15
16

74.2

    Stage 4
58
24
34

67.2

Clinical tumor size

0.3967

0.0004

    <2 cm
162
100
62

87.0

    2~4 cm
244
134
110

71.3

    >4 cm
33
19
14

66.7

Pathology tumor size

0.4417

0.0141

    <2 cm
197
114
83

81.7

    2~4 cm
183
94
89

69.4

    >4 cm
25
14
11

72.0

OP group*4

<0.0001

<0.0001

    01
385
238
147

81.6

    02
27
14
13

66.7

    03
81
19
62

61.7

value for the comparison of the survival between >36 and <36 months groups.

value for 5-year survival among the items of the same characteristics group.

0: unknown primary site or the shape of the organ is not paired; 1: the primary site is originated from the right side; 2: the primary site is originated from the left side; 3: only one side is invaded but it is not clear which side (R't or L't) it is originated from; 4: both sides are invaded but the origin of the primary site is not clear and the chart record describes only one primary site.

OP group for 01: OP only; 02: OP→IA; 03: OP→CT, OP→CT + IV, OP→CT→RT, OP→IA→RT, OP→IV,OP→IV→RT, OP→RT, OP→RT + CT,OP→RT + IV, OP→RT→CT, OP→RT→IA, OP→RT→IV. Symbols: OP: operation; IA: intraarterial chemotherapy; CT: oral chemotherapy; IV: intravenous chemotherapy; RT: radiotherapy; →: then.

3.1.2. Subsites and Survival

As shown in Table 1, the site distribution of the 493 cases of oral cancer patients showed common affected sites including the cheek mucosa, gum, tongue, and retromolar trigon. Postsurgical organ function and cosmetics may vary with surgical site, but no difference to survival could be found.

3.1.3. Laterality and Survival

As shown in Table 1, laterality is recorded in the database of cancer registries and is a mixed expression of clinical/pathological tumor size and location. It does not play a significant role in the surgical group.

3.1.4. Grade and Survival

As shown in Table 1, comparison of the pathological characteristics between >5-year () and <5-year survival () revealed better treatment outcomes for low grade tumors (), suggesting that well-differentiated tumors are less aggressive and thus are associated with better overall survival.

3.1.5. Regional Lymph Nodes and Survival

As shown in Table 1, regional lymph node examination might express the details and quality of surgical resection. However, the number of examined lymph nodes was not found to have an effect on survival. This might be due to cross-interaction between clinical lymph node stages and overall survival.

3.1.6. Clinical Stages, Pathology Stages, Clinical/Pathology Tumor Sizes, and Survival

As shown in Table 1, neither clinical nor pathological stages were found to have an impact on 5-year survival. There might be some influencing factors between low- and high-tumor stages which cannot be simply explained by surgery. However, for clinical/pathological tumor size alone, significant differences between >5-year and <5-year groups are found ( and , resp.). Smaller tumor size means less tumor burden and has less surrounding tissue infiltration, which may explain improved overall outcomes.

3.1.7. Surgical Modalities and Survival

As shown in Table 1, treatment modalities (OP) were further differentiated into 3 groups based on different adjuvant therapies, that is, surgery alone, surgery plus intra-arterial chemotherapy, and surgery plus concomitant chemoradiotherapy. Significant differences between groups were found (), and further analysis of surgical modalities based on the clinical/pathological stages could produce interesting insights.

This hospital-based study followed nearly 500 patients with oral squamous cell carcinoma after surgical treatment. Results showed that age of onset and laterality of tumor location did not influence the treatment outcome. The latter might be attributed to oral cancer being a less multifocal or multicentric disease than, for example, breast cancer and, hence, laterality of the primary tumor has less influence on survival. These findings are in line with previous findings [19, 20].

Advanced tumor stage or failure of locoregional control negatively influences survival in patients with OSCC [21]. However, we did not observe a significant influence from either clinical or pathological tumor stages. Similar to our findings, Pandey et al. reported no difference in survival rates for the extent of tumor [22], and the observed difference might be due to the facts that all stages of tumor have been poured in the analysis.

In the present study, multimodality treatment proved to be a prognostic factor. Benefit from systemic or adjuvant local therapies might correlate with disease biology as the grade of tumor differentiation was also an important influencing factor.

3.2. Data Mining Results Using Apriori Algorithm

Table 2 shows the best rules for OP > 36 months. The head and body represent a class association rule which means the head of an association rule (with rule body ) must be restricted to one attribute-value pair. The attribute of the attribute-value pair is thus the class attribute. The resulting rules can be evaluated according to three metrics: confidence, lift, and leverage. The minimum value of 1.5 for lift (or improvement) is computed as the confidence of the rule divided by the support of the right-hand-side (RHS). The lift represents the ratio of probability. Given a rule , and occur together to the multiple of the two individual probabilities for and ; that is,

Table 2: Ranking of the top 10 best rules found in survival larger than 36 months.

Body*1
No.
Head*1
No.
Confidence
Lift*2
Leverage
Conviction

Grade/differentiation = 2

Clinical stage group = early
49
Primary site = tongue

Group = OP
27
0.55
1.91
0.05
1.52

Primary site = tongue

Group = OP
78
Grade/differentiation = 2

Clinical stage group = early
27
0.35
1.91
0.05
1.23

Primary site = tongue

Clinical stage group = early
70
Grade/differentiation = 2

Group = OP
27
0.39
1.9
0.05
1.27

Grade/differentiation = 2

Group = OP
55
Primary site = tongue

Clinical stage group = early
27
0.49
1.9
0.05
1.41

Grade/differentiation = 2
60
Primary site = tongue

Clinical stage group = early

Group = OP
27
0.45
1.88
0.05
1.34

Primary site = tongue

Clinical stage group = early

Group = OP
65
Grade/differentiation = 2
27
0.42
1.88
0.05
1.3

Primary site = tongue
88
Grade/differentiation = 2

Clinical stage group = early

Group = OP
27
0.31
1.81
0.04
1.18

Grade/differentiation = 2

Clinical stage group = early

Group = OP
46
Primary Site = tongue
27
0.59
1.81
0.04
1.55

Grade/differentiation = 2
60
Primary site = tongue

Clinical stage group = early
27
0.45
1.74
0.04
1.31

Primary site = tongue

Clinical stage group = early
70
Grade/differentiation = 2
27
0.39
1.74
0.04
1.24

Stages 0 to 3 of clinical stage group and pathologic stage group as shown in Table 1 are regarded as early and stage 4 is regarded as late stage in Table 2.

The best rules with lift >1.5 were shown here.

If lift is 1, and are independent. The higher lift is above 1, the more likely that the existence of and together in a transaction is due to a relationship between them and not just random occurrence. Unlike lift, leverage measures the difference between the probability of co-occurrence of and as the independent probabilities of each of and ; that is,

Leverage measures the proportion of additional cases covered by both and above those expected if and were independent of each other. Thus, for leverage, values above 0 are desirable whereas values greater than 1 are desirable for lift. Finally, conviction is similar to lift, but it measures the effect of the right-hand side not being true and also inverts the ratio. Conviction is measured as

Table 2 shows that the rule “grade/differentiation = 2 and clinical stage group = early” is associated with the rule “primary site = tongue and group = OP.” The rule shows 49 patients as being grade/differentiation = 2 and clinical stage group = early, while 27 of these 49 patients fulfill the rules “primary site = tongue and group = OP.” The confidence shows the proportion of the rule “primary site = tongue and group = OP” in the rule “grade/differentiation = 2 and clinical stage group = early,” that is, 27/49. The lift is 1.91, meaning the existence of rule “grade/differentiation = 2 and clinical stage group = early” and rule “primary site = tongue and group = OP” together in a transaction is not just a random occurrence. The leverage value of 0.05 means that the proportion of additional cases covered by both rule “grade/differentiation = 2 and clinical stage group = early” and rule “primary site = tongue and group = OP” are greater than those that would be expected if these two rules were independent of each other. The conviction value of 1.52 indicates the effect of the right-hand side is not being true.

From the top down in Table 2, the lift values gradually decrease but still show a high correlation between the body/head and survival of >36 months. When the Apriori algorithm-based lift value of the items listed in “body” and “head” of Table 2 is high, there is less chance of misinterpretation of the relationships between each item. Judging by the top 8 results, the same items such as grade/differentiation = 2, clinical stage group = early, primary site = tongue, and group = OP flowed between the “body” and “head”. These data suggest that early stage tongue cancer with moderate differentiation will have a better survival (>36 months) with varied surgical approaches where the OP has three kinds of treatments.

Judging by the top 9 to 10 results, however, only three items are included without the group = OP and their lift values are decreased to 1.74. These results suggest that the factor of “group = OP” is not important to the top 9 to 10 results and is less strongly correlated compared with the top 8 results. It also implies that the OP plays an important role in creating a correlation with improved survival (>36 months). In clinical settings, this might be due to good treatment outcome which often accompanies surgery.

Accordingly, our proposed Apriori algorithm is a relatively simple form of rule-based computation to identify potential rules involving various factors, such as grade/differentiation = 2, clinical stage group = early, primary site = tongue, and group = OP. The algorithm can reveal the combination effect of these factors on the outcome of OSCC therapy.

4. Conclusion

This hospital-based analysis reviewed 493 patients with OSCC to mine survival factors in operation-centric patients. The results identify the importance of grade/differentiation = 2, clinical stage group = early, primary site = tongue, and group = OP in predicting higher survival for OSCC patients.

Conflict of Interests

The authors have no conflict of interests to declare.

Acknowledgments

This work was partly supported by the National Science Council in Taiwan (under Grant no. NSC101-2320-B-037-049, NSC101-2622-E-151-027-CC3, and NSC102-2221-E-151-024-MY3), by the Department of Health (DOH102-TD-C-111-002), and by NSYSU-KMU Joint Research Project (NSYSUKMU 102-034).

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